Publications

(1) Seidl, R., Donato, D.C., Raffa, K.F., Turner, M.G. 2016. Spatial variability in tree regeneration after wildfire delays and dampens future bark beetle outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 113, 13075–13080.

(2) Seidl, R. 2017. To model or not to model, that is no longer the question for ecologists. Ecosystems 20, 222–228.

(3) Reyer, C.P.O., Bathgate, S., Blennow, K., Borges, J.G., Bugmann, H., Delzon, S., Faias, S.P., Garcia-Gonzalo, J., Gardiner, B., Gonzalez-Olabarria, J.R., Gracia, C., Hernandez, J.G., Kellomäki, S., Kramer, K., Lexer, M.J., Lindern, M., van der Maaten, E., Maroschek, M., Muys, B., Nicoll, B., Palahi, M., Palma, J.H.N., Paulo, J.A., Peltola, H., Pukkala, T., Rammer, W., Ray, D., Sabate, S., Schelhaas, M.J., Seidl, R., Temperli, C., Tome, M., Yousefpour, R., Zimmermann, N., Hanewinkel, M. 2017. Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests? Environmental Research Letters 12, 034027.

(4) Kulakowski, D., Seidl, R., Holeksa, J., Kuuluvainen, T., Nagel, T., Panayotov, M., Svoboda, M., Thorn, S., Vacchiano, G., Whitlock, C., Wohlgemuth, T., Bebi, P. 2017. A walk on the wild side: Disturbance dynamics and the conservation and management of European mountain forest ecosystems. Forest Ecology and Management 388, 120-131.

(5) Bebi, P., Seidl, R., Motta, R., Fuhr, M., Firm, D., Krumm, F., Conedera, M., Ginzler, C., Wohlgemuth, T., Kulakowski, D. 2017. Changes of forest cover and disturbance regimes in the mountain forests of the Alps. Forest Ecology and Management 388, 43-56.

(6) Janda, P., Trotsiuk, V., Mikolas, M., Bace, R., Nagel, T.A., Seidl, R., Seedre, M., Morrissey, R.C., Kucbel, S., Jaloviar, P., Jasik, M., Vysoky, J., Samonil, P., Cada, V., Mrhalova, H., Labusova, J., Novakova, M., Rydval, M., Mateju, L., Svoboda, M. 2017. The historical disturbance regime of mountain Norway spruce forests in the Western Carpathians and its influence on current forest structure and composition. Forest Ecology and Management 388, 67-78.

(7) Seidl, R., Vigl, F., Rössler, G., Neumann, M., Rammer, W. 2017. Assessing the resilience of Norway spruce forests through a model-based reanalysis of thinning trials. Forest Ecology and Management 388, 3-12.

(8) Senf, C., Seidl, R., Hostert, P. 2017. Remote sensing of forest insect disturbances: Current state and future directions. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 60, 49-60.

(9) Neumann, M., Mues, V., Moreno, A., Hasenauer, H., Seidl, R. 2017. Climate variability drives recent tree mortality in Europe. Global Change Biology 23, 4788-4797.

(10) Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M.J., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T.A., Reyer, C.P.O. 2017. Forest disturbances under climate change. Nature Climate Change 7, 395-402.

(11) Senf, C., Pflugmacher, D., Hostert, P., Seidl, R. 2017. Using Landsat time series for characterizing forest disturbance dynamics in the coupled human and natural systems of Central Europe. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 130, 453-463.

(12) Thom, D., Rammer, W., Seidl, R. 2017. The impact of future forest dynamics on climate: Interactive effects of changing vegetation and disturbance regimes. Ecological Monographs 87, 665-684.

(13) Thorn, S., Bässler, C., Brandl, R., Burton, P.J., Cahall, R., Campbell, J.L., Castro, J., Choi, C-Y., Cobb, T., Donato, D., Durska, E., Fontaine, J.B., Gauthier, S., Hebert, C., Hothorn, T., Hutto, R.L., Lee, E-J., Leverkus, A.B., Lindenmayer, D.B., Obrist, M.K., Rost, J., Seibold, S., Seidl, R., Thom, D., Waldron, K., Wermelinger, B., Winter, M-B., Zmihorski, M., Müller, J. 2018. Impacts of salvage logging on biodiversity: a meta-analysis. Journal of Applied Ecology 55, 279-289.

(14) Senf, C., Seidl, R. 2018. Natural disturbances are spatially diverse but temporally synchronized across temperate forest landscapes in Europe. Global Change Biology 24, 1201-1211.

(15) Seidl, R., Albrich, K., Thom, D., Rammer, W. 2018. Harnessing landscape heterogeneity for managing future disturbance risks in forest ecosystems. Journal of Environmental Management 209, 46-56.

(16) Landuyt, D., Perring, M.P., Seidl, R., Taubert, F., Verbeeck, H., Verheyen, C. 2018. Modelling understorey dynamics in temperate forests under global change – Challenges and perspectives. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 31, 44-54.

(17) Schurman, J.S., Trotsiuk, V., Bace, R., Cada, V., Fraver, S., Janda, P., Kulakowski, D., Labusova, J., Mikolas, M., Nagel, T.A., Seidl, R., Synek, M., Svobodova, K., Chaskovskyy, O., Teodosiu, M., Svoboda, M. 2018. Large-scale disturbance legacies and the climate sensitivity of primary Picea abies forests. Global Change Biology 24, 2169-2181.

(18) Hansen, W.D., Braziunas, K.H., Rammer, W., Seidl, R., Turner, M.G. 2018. It takes a few to tango: Changing climate and fire regimes can cause regeneration failure of two subalpine conifers. Ecology 99, 966-977.

(19) Seidl, R., Klonner, G., Rammer, W., Essl, F., Moreno, A., Neumann, M., Dullinger, S. 2018. Invasive alien pests threaten the carbon stored in Europe’s forests. Nature Communications 9, 1626.

(20) Mori, A., Isbell, F., Seidl, R. 2018. Beta diversity, community assembly and ecosystem functioning. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 33, 549-564.

(21) Hilmers, T., Friess, N., Bässler, C., Heurich, M., Brandl, R., Pretzsch, H., Seidl, R., Müller, J. 2018. Biodiversity along temperate forest succession. Journal of Applied Ecology, in press.

(22) Albrich, K., Rammer, W., Seidl, R. 2018. Trade-offs between temporal stability and level of forest ecosystem services provisioning under climate change. Ecological Applications 28, 1884-1896

(23) Ammer, C., Fichtner, A., Fischer, A., Gossner, M.M., Meyer, P., Seidl, R., Thomas, F.M., Annighöfer, P., Kreyling, J., Ohse, B., Berger, U., Feldmann, E., Häberle, K.H., Heer, K., Heinrichs, S., Huth, F., Krämer-Klement, K., Mölder, A., Müller, J., Mund, M., Opgenoorth, L., Schall, P., Scherer-Lorenzen, M., Seidel, D., Vogt, J., Wagner, S. 2018. Key ecological research questions for Central European forests. Basic and Applied Ecology, in press.

(24) Kortmann, M., Heurich, M., Latifi, H., Rösner, S., Seidl, R., Müller, J., Thorn, S. 2018. Forest structure following natural disturbances and early succession provides habitat for two avian flagship species, capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus) and hazel grouse (Tetrastes bonasia). Biological Conservation 226, 81-91.

(25) Braziunas, K., Hansen, W.D., Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Turner, M.G. 2018. Looking beyond the mean: Drivers of variability in postfire stand development of conifers in Greater Yellowstone. Forest Ecology and Management 430, 460-471.

(26) Dobor, L., Hlásny, T., Rammer, W., Barka, I., Trombik, I., Pavlenda, P., Šebeň, V., Štěpánek, P., Seidl, R. 2018. Post-disturbance recovery of forest carbon in a temperate forest landscape under climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 263, 308-322.

(27) Thom, D., Rammer, W., Garstenauer, R., Seidl, R. 2018. Legacies of past land use have a stronger effect on forest carbon exchange than future climate change in a temperate forest landscape. Biogeosciences 15, 5699-5713.

(28) Sommerfeld, A., Senf, C., Buma, B., D’Amato, A., Després, T., Díaz-Hormazábal, I., Fraver, S., Frelich, L.E., Gutiérrez, A.G., Hart, S.J., Harvey, B.J., He, H.S., Hlásny, T., Holz, A., Kitzberger, T., Kulakowski, D., Lindenmayer, D., Mori, A.S., Müller, J., Paritsis, J., Perry, G.L.W., Stephens, S.L., Svoboda, M., Turner, M.G., Veblen, T.T., Seidl, R. 2018. Patterns and drivers of recent disturbances across the temperate forest biome. Nature Communications 9, 4355.

(29) Senf, C., Pflugmacher, D., Zhiqiang, Y., Sebald, J., Knorn, J., Neumann, M., Hostert, P., Seidl, R. 2018. Canopy mortality has doubled in Europe’s temperate forests over the last three decades. Nature Communications 9, 4978

(30) Bugmann, H., Seidl, R., Hartig, F., Bohn, F., Bruna, J., Cailleret, M., Francois, L., Heinke, J., Henrot, A.J., Hickler, T., Hülsmann, L., Huth, A., Jacquemin, I., Kollas, C., Lasch-Born, P., Lexer, M.J., Merganic, J., Merganicova, K., Mette, T., Miranda, B.R., Nadal-Sala, D., Rammer, W., Rammig, A., Reineking, B., Roedig, E., Sabate, S., Steinkamp, J., Suckow, F., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Xu, C., Reyer, C.P.O. 2019. Tree mortality submodels drive simulated long-term forest dynamics: assessing 15 models from the stand to global scale. Ecosphere 10, e02616.

(31) Rammer, W., Seidl, R. 2019. A scalable model of vegetation transitions using deep neural networks. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, in press, doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.13171

(32) Sebald, J., Senf C., Heiser M., Scheidl C., Pflugmacher, D., Seidl, R. 2019 The effects of forest cover and disturbance on torrential hazards: large-scale evidence from the Eastern Alps, Environmental Research Letters, 14(11), 114032

(33) Seidl, R; Albrich, K; Erb, K; Formayer, H; Leidinger, D; Leitinger, G; Tappeiner, U; Tasser, E; Rammer, W. 2019. What drives the future supply of regulating ecosystem services in a mountain forest landscape?. Forest Ecology & Management; 445: 37-47

 (34) Albrich, K., Rammer, W. Seidl, R. 2020. Climate change causes critical transition and irreversible alterations of mountain forests, Global Change Biology (accepted)

(35)  Honkaniemi, J., Rammer, W., & Seidl, R. (2020). Norway spruce at the trailing edge: the effect of landscape configuration and composition on climate resilience. Landscape Ecology, 35(3), 591–606. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-019-00964-y

(36) Hansen, W. D., Abendroth, D., Rammer, W., Seidl, R., & Turner, M. G. (2020). Can wildland fire management alter 21st‐century subalpine fire and forests in Grand Teton National Park, Wyoming, USA? Ecological Applications, 30(2), 0–3. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2030

(37) Dobor, L., Hlásny, T., Rammer, W., Zimová, S., Barka, I., & Seidl, R. (2020). Spatial configuration matters when removing windfelled trees to manage bark beetle disturbances in Central European forest landscapes. Journal of Environmental Management, 254(June 2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109792

(38) Dobor, L., Hlásny, T., Rammer, W., Zimová, S., Barka, I., & Seidl, R. (2019). Is salvage logging effectively dampening bark beetle outbreaks and preserving forest carbon stocks? Journal of Applied Ecology, April, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13518

(39) Rammer, W., & Seidl, R. (2019). Harnessing deep learning in ecology: An example predicting bark beetle outbreaks. Frontiers in Plant Science, 10(October), 1327. https://doi.org/10.3389/FPLS.2019.01327

Presentations

(1) Albrich, K., Thom, D., Rammer, W., Seidl, R. 2016. Impact of different management strategies on the provisioning of forest ecosystem services under climate change. Poster presented at the COST Action [FP1304] event PROFOUND Joint MC/WG meeting, Sept 28-29, 2016, Krakow, Poland

(2) Seidl, R. 2016. Changing disturbance regimes: Challenges and opportunities for forest management. The challenge of global change: disturbance and risk in forest ecosystem management. Workshop of SNS/EFINORD network. Natural Disturbance Dynamics Analysis for Forest Ecosystem Based Management (FORDISMAN). Narva, Estonia, Oct. 27-29, 2016.

(3) Rammer, W., Albrich, K., Seidl, R. 2016. Long-term interactions between wind disturbance, climate change, and forest management. IUFRO Regional Congress for Asia and Oceania 2016, Beijing (China), Oct 24–27, 2016.

(4) Seidl, R., Klonner, G., Rammer, W., Essl, F., Moreno, A., Neumann, M., Dullinger, S. 2017. The potential impact of invasive pests on carbon storage in Europe’s forests. Macroecology in space and time. 10th annual meeting of the specialist group on macroecology of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria, and Switzerland, Vienna, April 19-21, 2017.

(5) Senf, C., Seidl, R. 2017. Similarities and differences in forest disturbance dynamics across the European temperate forest biome. Macroecology in space and time. 10th annual meeting of the specialist group on macroecology of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria, and Switzerland, Vienna, April 19-21, 2017.

 (6) Senf, C., Seidl, R. 2017. Similarities and differences in forest disturbance patterns across the European temperate forest biome. [Poster]
2nd International Conference on Forests, Bavarian Forest National Park, Neuschönau, Germany, April 26-29, 2017.

(7) Seidl, R. 2017. Management & natural disturbances. State-of-the-art and perspectives of individual-based forest modeling, Leipzig, Germany, April 27-28, 2017.

(8) Albrich, K., Rammer, W., Thom, D., Seidl, R. 2017. Providing multiple ecosystem services in the face of changing disturbance regimes. IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress, Freiburg im Breisgau, GERMANY, SEP 18-22, 2017.

(9) Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Klonner, G., Rammer, W., Seidl R. 2017. Interactive effects of climate warming and invasive pests on European forest carbon storage. IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress, Freiburg, SEPT 18-22, 2017.

(10) Seidl, R. 2017. Frontiers in forest disturbance research. IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress, Freiburg, SEPT 18-22, 2017.

(11) Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T., Reyer, C.P.O. 2017. Modeling changing forest disturbance regimes. IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress, Freiburg, SEPT 18-22, 2017.

(12) Senf, C., Seidl, R. 2017. Multi-scale drivers of forest disturbances across European temperate forests. IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress, Freiburg, SEPT 18-22, 2017.

(13) Thom, D., Rammer, W., Seidl, R. 2017. Changing disturbance regimes and their impact on the climate regulating function of forests. IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress, Freiburg, GERMANY, SEP 18-22, 2017.

(14) Rammer, W., Seidl, R. 2017. Integrating effects of diversity, disturbances, and climate change into forest landscape modeling. IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress, Freiburg, GERMANY, SEP 18-22, 2017.

(15) Albrich, K.; Rammer, W.; Seidl, R. (2018): Resilience of mountain forest ecosystems to climate change.
Cool Forests at Risk - The critical role of boreal and mountain ecosystems for people, bioeconomy and climate (IBFRA18), Laxenburg, AUSTRIA, SEP 17-20, 2018

(16) Sebald, J., Senf C., Heiser M., Scheidl C., Pflugmacher, D., Seidl, R. Forest canopy disturbance increse the risk from torrential hzards in mountain regions (Poster). EGU General Assembley, Vienna, AUSTRIA, APR 07-12, 2019

(17) Albrich, K; Rammer, W.; Seidl, R. (2019): Topographic complexity increases the climate resilience of mountain forests. 10th IALE World Congress, Milano, ITALY, JUL 1-5, 2019

(18) Sebald, J., Senf C., Heiser M., Scheidl C., Pflugmacher, D., Seidl, R. Are forested landscapes protecting against torrential hazards? Empirical large scale evidence from the Alps. 10th IALE World Congress, Milano, ITALY, JUL 1-5, 2019 

(19) Albrich, K.; Rammer, W.; Seidl, R (2019): Critical transitions in Central European mountain forests under climate change – the role of topographic complexity, XXV IUFRO World Congress, Curitiba, BRAZIL, SEP 29-OCT 5, 2019

(20) Sebald, J., Rammer, W., Seidl R. The role of alpha and beta diversity in buffering effects of intensifying disturbance regimes under climate change. Managing forests in the 21st century, Potsdam, GERMANY, MAR 3-5, 2020

21) Rammer, W, Seidl, R. (2019): Scaling Vegetation Dynamics - A novel deep learning based approach for modelling vegetation transitions across large spatial scales.Symposium "Perspectives of forest modelling", APR 3-5, 2019, Leipzig

 22) Rammer W, Seidl R (2018): Scaling vegetation dynamics: a novel approach for modeling vegetation transitions across large spatial scales based on deep learning. 48th Annual Conference of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland (GfÖ), SEPT10-14,  2018, Vienna, AUSTRIA